Data-Driven NFL Spread & Total Picks

Find the edge before kickoff.

Every matchup on the board is run through the same model, every week β€” no hunches, no inside info. Only the picks where the signal actually clears the bar make it onto the board.

84-59-1
2023–2025 Record
58.7%
Hit Rate
+17.4u
Units (flat 1u / -110)
Current Telemetry

This week's board

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Free System Access

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Audited Track Record

Model performance overview

Real settled results, hand-verified β€” 2023–2025.

84-59-1
Record
58.7%
Hit Rate
143
Decided Picks
+17.4u
Net Units

Units assume flat 1-unit sizing at standard -110 odds β€” a disclosed assumption, not a record of actual bet sizing.

Strategic Indexing

Understanding confidence tiers

Tiers describe how a pick ranks against this week's board, not a promised win rate.

πŸ”₯ Lock of the Week

The single highest-confidence pick on the board this week.

πŸ’ͺ Strong Lean

Near the top of this week’s board -- a clear model edge.

πŸ“ Slight Edge

Cleared the model’s publish bar, but with less separation.

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